Russell Wilson traded to Broncos: Using advanced analytics to determine Fantasy impact in Denver – – SportsLine

In one of the biggest blockbuster trades of recent memory, the Seattle Seahawks sent Russell Wilson and a fourth-round pick to the Denver Broncos in exchange for QB Drew Lock, TE Noah Fant, DL Shelby Harris, two first-round picks, two second-round picks and a fifth-round pick.

The Broncos moved from +2500 to win Super Bowl 57 to +1400 at Caesars Sportsbook with this trade. They are now +700 third favorites to win the AFC (were +1200) behind Buffalo (+380) and Kansas City (+450). To win the AFC West, the Broncos are +260 behind the Chiefs (-110). Find the full betting odds fallout following the trade here.

For Fantasy purposes, Seattle pass-catchers such as DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and the just-acquired Noah Fant seem to be in for a dip in value with the Franchise QB moving on. Without clarity as to who will lead Seattle’s offense in 2022, it is tough to speculate on the Fantasy value for any of the Seahawks offensive pieces at this point.

What we can speculate on is how Wilson’s arrival will impact Denver’s pass-catchers. Jerry Jeudy has endured an unfortunate set of circumstances to begin his career, but a Year 3 breakout could be imminent with Wilson under center. Also easy to get excited about is Jeudy’s 2020 draft classmate, tight end Albert Okwuegbunam. On a per route basis, Albert O has been one of the NFL’s most efficient tight ends in his two seasons with the Broncos.

When considering the strengths and weaknesses of Denver’s existing pass-catchers, SportsLine data analyst Jacob Gibbs expects Jeudy and Okwuegbunam to see the biggest boost in efficiency while catching passes from Wilson. Gibbs says the data suggests that the route trees for those two youngsters are more compatible with Wilson’s tendencies than that of teammate Courtland Sutton.

Could the recently re-signed Sutton still be a savvy buy-low in Fantasy coming off of a disappointing 2021? Read on to find out what the data suggests about Wilson’s fit with each of Denver’s primary pass-catching options.

How does Wilson compare to Teddy Bridgewater for the Broncos’ supporting cast? And is Jerry Jeudy primed for a breakout after the QB upgrade? … Join SportsLine right now to see Jacob Gibbs’ advanced analytical breakdown of the Russell Wilson trade, all from an analytics-driven expert who has crushed it in rankings accuracy long-term!


Author: Advanced analytics

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